MERS Mounts Up 2013

by **Admin** Sun Sep 15, 2013 8:16 am

2013 2013 2013 <div class="post-header"></div><div class="post-body entry-content" id="post-body-1526817164703421970" itemprop="description articleBody">[I'll adjust my total to reflect Flu Tracker's.  I have way too much going on in my life right now, to keep correct count of MERS cases.]</div><div class="post-body entry-content" id="post-body-1526817164703421970" itemprop="description articleBody"></div><div class="post-body entry-content" id="post-body-1526817164703421970" itemprop="description articleBody">September 11, 2013</div><div class="post-body entry-content" id="post-body-1526817164703421970" itemprop="description articleBody">In a strange coincidence of numerals, the 4th Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) report in a row from the Ministry of Health (MOH) of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) contains very little on 4 cases.  I use below, the FluTracker's (FT) case numbering scheme because frankly, they produce the only numbering schemes for tracking cases of new or returning infectious disease that are systematic, reliable and worthy of our trust.  It should form the basis for a worldwide numbering system for infectious disease outbreaks because it is also freely and publicly available such that any potential manuscript author can easily check it before submitting a research paper and then we could all know which case is being discussed. And by "we" I mean fellow researchers, not just interested parties.  The KSA MOH could consider running their own table of data akin to that of <a href="http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showthread.php?t=205075" target="_blank">FluTrackers</a>, but augmented and using an adapted version of Crawford Killian's <a href="http://crofsblogs.typepad.com/h5n1/2013/09/a-memo-to-the-saudi-minister-of-health.html" target="_blank">wishlist to the MOH</a>. Each (deidentified) case entry should include the following headings along the top row, filled out if and as they become relevant: <ol><li>A unique, continuous identifying code specific to this emerging virus</li><li>Sex</li><li>Age</li><li>Occupation</li><li>Co-morbidities</li><li>Date of illness onset</li><li>Town of illness onset</li><li>Town of acquisition acquisition</li><li>Date of hospitalisation</li><li>Type of laboratory testing</li><li>Date of laboratory confirmation</li><li>Date of death</li><li>Date of release from hospital</li><li>Treatments/management</li><li>Town of treatment</li><li>Relationships to any other cases</li></ol>Today's MERS-CoV cases are mostly asymptomatic. These cases are announced amid rumours of <a href="http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showthread.php?p=509156#post509156" style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: x-large;" target="_blank">larger case numbers</a> being tested, <a href="http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showthread.php?p=509232#post509232" style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: x-large;" target="_blank">panic in hospitals</a> over potential MERS cases, <a href="http://crofsblogs.typepad.com/h5n1/2013/09/saudi-arabia-a-note-from-a-mers-hospital.html" style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: x-large;" target="_blank">frustration from within KSA</a> over the MOH's poor performance, and of the <a href="http://crofsblogs.typepad.com/h5n1/2013/09/saudi-arabia-moh-complains-about-online-mers-rumours.html" style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: x-large;" target="_blank">KSA cracking down on healthcare workers</a> passing on rumours. Today we have: <ol><li>FT#125: 22-year old asymptomatic male, citizen of Madinha (Medina), contact of another confirmed case (we shall call him Mr/Mrs/Ms/Dr X)</li><li>FT#126: 24-year old asymptomatic male healthcare worker in Madinha</li><li>FT#127: 60-year old asymptomatic male citizen of Riyadh, contact of another case (also unknown)</li><li>FT#128: 47-year old male citizen of Riyadh, contact of another unknown case, symptomatic but stable</li></ol> This brings the tally to 128 with 57 deaths (<a href="http://virologydownunder.blogspot.com.au/2013/07/new-h7n9-numbers-and-case-fatality.html" target="_blank">proportion of fatal cases</a>, PFC, at 45%). Where data for sex exists, males comprise 63% of cases and 74% of deaths in people confirmed as positive for MERS-CoV. 82% of cases come from the KSA and, if counting back to the retrospectively identified cases from Jordan, we take the first week of disease associated with MERS-CoV infection as that beginning 19-Mar-=2013, then we are in 78th week of MER. </div><div class="post-body entry-content" id="post-body-1526817164703421970" itemprop="description articleBody"> </div><div class="post-body entry-content" id="post-body-1526817164703421970" itemprop="description articleBody"><a href="http://virologydownunder.blogspot.com/2013/09/mers-mounts-up.html">http://virologydownunder.blogspot.com/2013/09/mers-mounts-up.html</a></div> 2013 2013 2013 <div class="post-header"></div><div class="post-body entry-content" id="post-body-1526817164703421970" itemprop="description articleBody">[I'll adjust my total to reflect Flu Tracker's.  I have way too much going on in my life right now, to keep correct count of MERS cases.]</div><div class="post-body entry-content" id="post-body-1526817164703421970" itemprop="description articleBody"></div><div class="post-body entry-content" id="post-body-1526817164703421970" itemprop="description articleBody">September 11, 2013</div><div class="post-body entry-content" id="post-body-1526817164703421970" itemprop="description articleBody">In a strange coincidence of numerals, the 4th Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) report in a row from the Ministry of Health (MOH) of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) contains very little on 4 cases.  I use below, the FluTracker's (FT) case numbering scheme because frankly, they produce the only numbering schemes for tracking cases of new or returning infectious disease that are systematic, reliable and worthy of our trust.  It should form the basis for a worldwide numbering system for infectious disease outbreaks because it is also freely and publicly available such that any potential manuscript author can easily check it before submitting a research paper and then we could all know which case is being discussed. And by "we" I mean fellow researchers, not just interested parties.  The KSA MOH could consider running their own table of data akin to that of <a href="http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showthread.php?t=205075" target="_blank">FluTrackers</a>, but augmented and using an adapted version of Crawford Killian's <a href="http://crofsblogs.typepad.com/h5n1/2013/09/a-memo-to-the-saudi-minister-of-health.html" target="_blank">wishlist to the MOH</a>. Each (deidentified) case entry should include the following headings along the top row, filled out if and as they become relevant: <ol><li>A unique, continuous identifying code specific to this emerging virus</li><li>Sex</li><li>Age</li><li>Occupation</li><li>Co-morbidities</li><li>Date of illness onset</li><li>Town of illness onset</li><li>Town of acquisition acquisition</li><li>Date of hospitalisation</li><li>Type of laboratory testing</li><li>Date of laboratory confirmation</li><li>Date of death</li><li>Date of release from hospital</li><li>Treatments/management</li><li>Town of treatment</li><li>Relationships to any other cases</li></ol>Today's MERS-CoV cases are mostly asymptomatic. These cases are announced amid rumours of <a href="http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showthread.php?p=509156#post509156" style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: x-large;" target="_blank">larger case numbers</a> being tested, <a href="http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showthread.php?p=509232#post509232" style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: x-large;" target="_blank">panic in hospitals</a> over potential MERS cases, <a href="http://crofsblogs.typepad.com/h5n1/2013/09/saudi-arabia-a-note-from-a-mers-hospital.html" style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: x-large;" target="_blank">frustration from within KSA</a> over the MOH's poor performance, and of the <a href="http://crofsblogs.typepad.com/h5n1/2013/09/saudi-arabia-moh-complains-about-online-mers-rumours.html" style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: x-large;" target="_blank">KSA cracking down on healthcare workers</a> passing on rumours. Today we have: <ol><li>FT#125: 22-year old asymptomatic male, citizen of Madinha (Medina), contact of another confirmed case (we shall call him Mr/Mrs/Ms/Dr X)</li><li>FT#126: 24-year old asymptomatic male healthcare worker in Madinha</li><li>FT#127: 60-year old asymptomatic male citizen of Riyadh, contact of another case (also unknown)</li><li>FT#128: 47-year old male citizen of Riyadh, contact of another unknown case, symptomatic but stable</li></ol> This brings the tally to 128 with 57 deaths (<a href="http://virologydownunder.blogspot.com.au/2013/07/new-h7n9-numbers-and-case-fatality.html" target="_blank">proportion of fatal cases</a>, PFC, at 45%). Where data for sex exists, males comprise 63% of cases and 74% of deaths in people confirmed as positive for MERS-CoV. 82% of cases come from the KSA and, if counting back to the retrospectively identified cases from Jordan, we take the first week of disease associated with MERS-CoV infection as that beginning 19-Mar-=2013, then we are in 78th week of MER. </div><div class="post-body entry-content" id="post-body-1526817164703421970" itemprop="description articleBody"> </div><div class="post-body entry-content" id="post-body-1526817164703421970" itemprop="description articleBody"><a href="http://virologydownunder.blogspot.com/2013/09/mers-mounts-up.html">http://virologydownunder.blogspot.com/2013/09/mers-mounts-up.html</a></div> 2013 2013 2013 <a href="http://www.matrixar.com/" title="Matrix ">المصفوفة : أجمل الخلفيات والصور</a>